Apr
27

Switzerland is to Germany like the US is to…India?

Members of Swiss insurance plans living in the Basel region will be able to go to Germany to get their care, under a pilot program announced by the Swiss government. For those unfamiliar w the health systems in the two countries, both have mandatory coverage through licensed insurers and mostly private providers. Recent changes in German laws have enabled primary care and some other providers to more fully compete for patients.
The driver behind the new program is, you guessed it, cost containment. The Swiss are faced with cost increases of (gasp) 5.6 percent this year, and are desparate for solutions to this crisis. In addition to the cross-border care, the Swiss are also negotiating for lower rates on prescription drugs (what an innovative idea!) and further encouraging the use of generics.
The consensus is that there is an oversupply of physicians in private practice in Germany, thus they may be less expensive than their Swiss cousins.
Now here’s the interesting part. The Swiss health care budget is about 11.1% of GDP; the German budget is 10.7%. (Pikers, you say, we Americans are over 16%! ) I find it kind of morbidly fascinating that Swiss health care planners think they may actually save a few francs by sending patients across the border, into a country with a demonstrably “sick” health care system, one that has not done any better job of delivering quality care at a low cost.
Now if they were going to send their patients to India, now they might be getting somewhere.
In fact, that’s not a bad idea for some budding young insurance Entray-pra-noor here in the US of A. And I’m only half joking.


Apr
27

One of ten docs does not accept insurance

Despite the huge influence of managed care and third-party payers in health insurance, about 10% of physicians work on a cash basis, wherein patients pay them directly for services rendered. Most of these docs are in the primary care specialties, where patients place a premium on face-to-face interaction,and where fees are generally manageable for the merely well-to-do.
I would not expect this trend to spread, as many of the more lucrative specialties have a relatively high per-procedure cost, thereby making them unaffordable for most folks without insurance.


Apr
26

Workers comp rates: hard? soft? just right?

Well, are workers comp rates softening, hardening, or just right?
According to a study released at this year’s annual RIMS conference (held in Honolulu…), the market is softening. I’m not sure I buy that, and here’s why.
There are lots of moving pieces here that all have an impact on insurance rates: prior year losses; medical cost trend rates; expectations of losses for the coming policy year; claims volume projections; claim cost projections; equity market investment returns; interest rates; the amount of free capital in the market; etc.
So, one would need a supercomputer or really good ouija board to consider all these factors. Lacking either, I’ll use the trusty educated guess to prognosticate on the future of rates…
Workers comp rates are down about 3% over prior year renewals. This is due to more favorable investment returns (equity markets are up as are interest rates); a significant improvement in loss ratios in California (home to about 17% of the nation’s WC exposure); an expectation that reforms in Texas will significantly reduce costs in that key state; concern about potential claims for property and liability from past and future hurricanes (soaking up capital that could be used to write WC) and perhaps most significant, the continuing decline in claims frequency.
All these factors make for a relatively rosy outlook for comp. In fact, coupling the legislative and regulatory changes with the decline in claims frequency, one could argue that rates should be substantially lower than they are today.


Apr
26

UPDATE – Moral hazard and its impacts defined

UPDATE – One of the most thoughtful, well-written, and best pieces on what health insurance is, what it ought to be, and the different philosophies about same was written by Malcolm Gladwell of The New Yorker last year and subsequently posted by Marc Kashinsky.
Matt Holt posted a review/commentary/expansion on the Gladwell piece, once again demonstrating he knows his stuff.
Mr. Gladwell delves into the depths of ‘moral hazard’ and its role in the Bush Administration’s health care policy thinking, as well as its impact on individual decisions about care.
Re the latter, here is one of the more striking passages.
“Sered and Fernandopulle tell the story of Steve, a factory worker from northern Idaho, with a “grotesquelooking left hand–what looks like a bone sticks out the side.” When he was younger, he broke his hand. “The doctor wanted to operate on it,” he recalls. “And because I didn’t have insurance, well, I was like ‘I ain’t gonna have it operated on.’ The doctor said, ‘Well, I can wrap it for you with an Ace bandage.’ I said, ‘Ahh, let’s do that, then.’ ” Steve uses less health care than he would if he had insurance, but that’s not because he has defeated the scourge of moral hazard. It’s because instead of getting a broken bone fixed he put a bandage on it.”
Print it, stick it in your “to be read” file, and absolutely read it.


Apr
25

The two reasons consumerism won’t solve the health care cost problem

If consumerism is going to help reduce health care cost inflation, we’ll need two things – information and appropriate financial incentives. Actually, we’ll need another ‘thing’ – consumers will need the intelligence and expertise to be able to make the correct decisions when (or more likely if) reviewing information about conditions, procedures, outcomes, costs, side effects, providers, facilities, and alternatives. That’s a tough one…but I digress.
So far, the information has been sorely lacking, in part because it’s just so massive it’s hard to put it together, in part because the Feds won’t give out any data on the largest payer on the planet, Medicare, and in part because providers are really really reluctant to sign on to anything that might reveal they aren’t individually perfect.
OK, so we’re not quite there yet in the information department. What about financial incentives? We’re a lot further along there, aren’t we? Well, aren’t we?
Nope. For two reasons.

Continue reading The two reasons consumerism won’t solve the health care cost problem


Apr
25

Part D enrollment myths

Rather than do the ‘reinvent the wheel’ thing, I’ll just refer you to other folks who have been “fact checking” the Administration’s claims about the 30 million who have “signed up for” Medicare Part D.
The net is this – out of the 21.3 million eligibles (not covered under some other Medicare or other Rx program), a bit over one-third have signed up for stand-alone Part D.
Matt Holt replays a Wall Street Journal article that (finally!) breaks down the actual enrollment stats by source (something Kate Steadman, Matt, and I have been blogging on for months…).
This makes me nuts because it will be used by some to make the point that governmental approaches to health care coverage do not work. And in this case, they’ll be dead on.


Apr
24

Texas Mutual’s network is operational

Work Comp insurer Texas Mutual has launched their network initiative, partnering with Concentra on their private-labeled “Texas Star Network Option”. For now, the network will only be available to employers in the Austin, San Antonio, DFW and Houston metro areas, but expectations are the coverage area will expand significantly in the near future.
Texas Mutual has prepared excellent powerpoint presentations for employers employees and agents; anyone interested in an overview of the impact of the new legislation and regulatory changes would be well-served to review the presentations.
While Concentra’s network includes thousands of providers in Texas, Texas Mutual claims to have selected only certain providers for the Texas Star Network. One hopes this is the case, as the best feature of many workers comp networks is their ability to exclude docs who don’t get workers comp.


Apr
24

Health care is local; and so are demographics

The report authored by the Center for the Study of Health Systems Change on the impact of demographics on inpatient hospital demand (discussed here earlier) is revealing on several levels: technology v demographics; shifts in utilization by type of procedure, and the impact of an aging population on inpatient v outpatient care.
One of the key takeaways is the note that local demographics can be quite different from national trends, and can actually counteract them entirely. For example, Phoenix is growing so rapidly, and has such a youthful demographic profile (about 10% of the population is over 65) that health care planners may as well ignore the national statistics as their population is significantly different.
At the other end of the spectrum is Syracuse NY, where a stagnant-to-declining population coupled with little influx of younger residents has resulted in a population bulge in the over-65 group (over 16% of the population is over 65, compared to a US average of 12.4%).
While local health care planners and politicians (well, maybe not politicians…) are well aware of these differences, those of us interested in national health care policy and planning would do well to remember that all health care is local, and the needs of individuals and areas trump national trends.


Apr
24

Demographics v technology as health care cost drivers

Health Affairs has published an excellent review of the impact of aging on hospital demand, one that any hospital exec or regulator would be well served to study and keep near. The study, authored by the good folk at the Center for the Study of Health System Change, indicates that while the aging population will have a significant impact on inpatient utilization and cost, the impact may well be over-shadowed by changes in technology.
Here’s an example.
Demographic changes will increase the number of cardiovascular admissions by 1.5% annually over the next ten years, as older people are more likely to require treatment for heart attack and chest pain. While that’s a significant change, historically the adoption of angioplasty resulted in a much more dramatic shift in utilization patterns.
Over the ten years following 1993, the number of angioplasties jumped 7% per year. Meanwhile, the number of bypass operations grew only 0.2% per year (a figure lower than that predicted by demographic changes). Angioplasty, a relative new-comer to the cardiovascular treatment scene, appears to have been used instead of the more complicated, expensive, and risky open-heart bypass operation for a portion of the population, and, in addition, was used in many cases where bypass was not likely to be considered.
So, technology not only trumped demographics, it did so in convincing fashion.
What does this mean for you?
While demographic shifts look huge, they may well be overshadowed by changes in technology.


Apr
21

P&C insurance rates

Following on the heels of the “revelation” that the Property and Casualty insurance industry experienced a significant drop in profitablility last year comes news that insurance rates appear to be leveling off from last falls’ declines. According to an analysis done by Lehman Brothers, the average commercial account saw a drop of 2.7% over their prior rates.
Yes, rates are still dropping – a little. The exception is property insurance, where rates are bumping up significantly, with the greatest increases in catastrophic coverage hitting the 25% range.