Jun
17

The work comp supply chain is killing work comp

Last week I wrote a post on workers comp insurers’ loss of control over medical costs. The post triggered a good bit of email traffic and requests to expand on my central point –
big networks now dictate terms to insurers, and the network business model is a major reason for the continued growth in work comp medical expense.
Think of the work comp claims process as organizing the products and services necessary to return an injured worker to full employment – and keep him/her there. The services – doctors, nurses, voc rehab, other providers, attorneys, field adjusters, investigators – supply expertise and skills that produces the desired end result – sustained return to work.
This process is analogous to manufacturing’s supply chain management.
A quick explanation – Supply chain management (SCM) has become one of the keys to profitable manufacturing. Defined as the process of planning, implementing and controlling the operations of the supply chain as efficiently as possible, SCM is based on the idea that companies should focus on what they do really well, their core competencies, and outsource tasks and functions that are not ‘core’ to organizations that do those things very well.
This allows the manufacturer to concentrate on what they do well, reduce overhead and staff, and focus management time and expertise on stuff that really drives value.
In the old days, companies tried to control as much of their raw materials – and the refining and transportation of those raw materials – as possible. In addition to auto plants Ford owned iron mines, steel mills, glass factories, rubber plantations, ships, and railroad cars. Nowadays Ford outsources some of its vehicles’ key components (engines, transmissions, steering linkages) to other companies, concentrating on designing, assembling and marketing instead.
Over the last couple of decades, manufacturers found themselves increasingly relying on other companies for critical processes and components – if all worked well, profits zoomed, and if not, heads rolled. Recognizing the importance of their suppliers (important = if they screwed up the manufacturer could be out of business), over time manufacturers combined these processes, approaches, and management techniques into the process of supply chain management.
The purpose of supply chain management is to make sure the company gains all the desired benefits from SCM, and avoids the nasty results of a failure in the supply chain – engines don’t show up at the assembly line, the wrong size tires appear, screws have left handed threads when right handed were spec’ed.
Or, the fancy order tracking system designed to make sure enough widgets are on hand to make the thingies ordered by customers just in time to meet the delivery deadline breaks down, or the investment in automation of central processes is a complete failure, or a working plant is closed and manufacturing sent to a cheaper plant that can’t deliver a quality product.
This happens more often than you might think, and when it does disaster often ensues. There are plenty of examples; reading about them gives one a mild sense of superiority (jeez, we’d never be that dumb) that alternates with a cold dash of reality (uhh, actually I could see us screwing up like that – or worse…).
What’s happening in workers comp (see, I told you we’d get to this eventually) is rather more insidious. I would argue that most payers’ approach to medical is tantamount to Sony outsourcing design and marketing, Honda outsourcing engine R&D, Ruth’s Chris outsourcing cooking, or Dave Mathews outsourcing singing (wait, that might not be a bad idea…). As I argued last week, medical is central, core, a critical function – fixing broken claimants so they can return to work is more important than anything else a comp insurer can do. I know, loss prevention is key as well, but claims will happen, and when they do the payer simply must ensure the claimant gets the right medical care that gets him/her back to full functionality.
But comp payers have, with a few, rare exceptions, completely lost track of what’s important. Fact is, almost all workers comp insurers buy medical care without regard to how good it is, or how fast it returns injured workers to employment. No, they buy it based on how much of a discount the doc or hospital will give them. The bigger the discount, the better – that’s how most comp payers evaluate medical care. While a few insurers are trying to change the model, and a few experiments, albeit on a very small scale, are in place, essentially all medical care for work comp is evaluated not on the basis of performance but on price per service.
Analogy – Sony buys LCD panels not on clarity and brightness but on cost, thinking hey, they are cheap so more folks can afford them – don’t worry if the picture is lousy and colors muddy – in fact don’t even look at the picture before you select a vendor.
Analogy – Airlines decide what travelers really want is low cost – so they remove seats from airplanes and have everyone stand up.
Ridiculous? Absolutely – about as ridiculous as choosing a doctor based on the discount they give your network.
I’m pretty passionate about this, so much so that tomorrow’s post will dive even deeper into the issue of how dumb supply management is killing work comp.


Jun
16

MSC and Express Scripts – future plans

So the purchase of MSC Pharmacy Services by Express Scripts will be finalized within a few weeks; what’s next?
It is way too early to tell, as the announcement hit the street just last Friday. That said, from discussions with sources from both Express and MSC Pharmacy Services it is clear that some heavy thinking has been going on for some time.
(Note I’m using MSC Pharmacy Services as that is the entity that was purchased by ESI; the other part of legacy company MSC remains ‘behind’ and will keep the MSC brand identity)
There’s the usual corporate-PR speak in the companies’ press releases, but folks involved in the discussions point to a few areas that bear watching. First out of the gate is MSC’s Oasis web portal. Their web app enables customers to access information in summary and drill down format, create reports, and keep track of specific claimants. ESI’s customers may be moved onto Oasis as systems integration efforts progress; this will not be an overnight move as it will require back- and front-end integration with customer, clinical, and processor applications.
MSC Pharmacy Services currently uses processor Restat as their network administrator; I’d expect to see the combined company move quickly onto Express’ platform and use Express’ network contracts. This would reduce MSC’s admin expense and likely improve rebate income as well.
Expect to see some consolidation of clinical programs; neither legacy company has a complete suite of services and the combined offering will almost certainly be stronger than each firm’s solo effort.
Something that has not been discussed, but has been alluded to in public statements is the possibility of cross selling ESI/MSC’s core offerings to their respective customers. This would entail ESI helping MSC sell DME, home health, imaging, etc to their customers and MSC cross selling PBM services to ESI’s customers.
Finally, while it is likely there will be a few folks looking for employment elsewhere, those decisions have not been finalized. MSC Pharmacy Services’ executive management is solid and well-regarded, as is ESI’s. I’d expect the headhunters are already circling…


Jun
13

UPDATE – MSC sells pharmacy division to Express Scripts

In an announcement released this morning, MSC has sold their pharmacy division to rival Express Scripts, Inc.
Rumors had been circulating for some time about a potential merger of MSC with rival PMSI-Tmesys, or of a deal wherein MSC would buy PMSI’s ancillary service lines business (durable medical equipment, home health care, etc).
Since the loss of Liberty Mutual’s pharmacy contract (MSC covered one half of the country with Progressive Medical handling the rest) to Progressive Medical last year, MSC has been able to regain momentum. According to MSC CEO Joe Delaney (from a conversation at RIMS in April) the company had essentially sold enough new business to make up for the loss of Liberty, and new business opportunities for 2008 have been plentiful.
Express has long had the second position in the industry behind leader PMSI; the newly merged entity will be a formidable competitor and may well take over the industry leader spot. MSC’s pharmacy revenues totaled close to $200 million.
Sources close to the deal indicated the purchase price is $248 million.
The deal will close within a few weeks, barring any anti-trust issues which sources do not expect to be a factor.
Meetings are starting this morning in MSC’s headquarters in Jacksonville, FL to start the customer contact outreach. They will also begin the “who does what from where’ conversation, as it appears no decisions have been reached regarding leadership of the newly merged entity.
Note – this deal is for the pharmacy business only; MSC will keep its ancillary services operations and it looks like current CEO Joe Delaney will stay in his current position. Delaney has done a good job turning the company around, and he will now be able to focus on this sector. I’d expect that MSC may now start (if they aren’t already) looking for acquisitions in this space.


Jun
13

It’s time to regain control

It is Friday the 13th. That legendary day of mythical fears, the bane of the superstitious, the day of bad luck and portentous omens. A fitting day indeed to tell an all-too-real horror story.
We’ll begin with the dry, dull, numbers, ones that we all know so well their impact has been dulled by their very repetition. But sit up straight and open those eyes, because they tell a very scary story.
59% of work comp claims cost is from medical expense. That percentage has been steadily growing over the last fifteen years. WC medical trend is significantly higher than the medical CPI; comp is up 7.8% per year over the last five years while the medical CPI only increased at an annual rate of 4.2%.
Why? What else happened over the last fifteen years?
Comp carriers came to rely on discount-based generalist networks as the central pillar of their medical management program.
And now the networks are in control.
The industry’s addiction to the easy solution of discount-driven medical care is slamming up against the hard reality that it just doesn’t work. Nationally, workers compensation preferred provider organizations (PPOs) deliver discounts in the range of 10 percent to 12 percent before network access fees. The claim, therefore, is that they deliver “savings” of 10 percent to12 percent. This claim is based on the simple premise that without the network, the cost would have been 10 percent to 12 percent higher. While this argument is logical on its face, there are at least three problems with it. First, the argument assumes that the injured worker would go to the exact same providers without a network. Second, it assumes the providers would deliver care, and bill for it, in exactly the same way. Finally, it does not consider the impact of frequency or utilization of care, merely the price per service.
But there’s an even bigger problem. Consider the incentives of the provider in this model. The PPO has asked the provider for a discount, for without a discount there is no profit for the PPO. The provider agrees and delivers care at a lower price, and thus less profitably. Clearly, the provider has a financial incentive to deliver more services, for if it does not, its decision to join the PPO makes no sense. The incentives for the PPO are equally perverse. The higher the medical cost, the more the “savings,” and the more revenue and profit for the PPO. Everyone benefits from this PPO arrangement; that is, everyone except the payer.
Yet this is the network model in place at almost every payer in the nation. It has been so successful for the biggest managed care firms that they are powerful enough to dictate terms to their ‘customers’ – the insurers and employers.
But relying on vendors to manage medical has clearly failed. If it had worked well, trend rates would not be where they are, and medical would not be eating up so much of the claims dollar.
Many payers are only now beginning to realize the implications of their addiction – their network vendors have the upper hand. Payers are now being confronted with the awful reality that their addiction to the huge discounted network is at its inevitable endpoint of all addictions;
the drug is controlling the addict, while slowly bleeding it dry.
This is not idle speculation. Nor is it hyperbole or exaggeration. In conversations with executives at several very large insurers it has become all too clear that the power is on the other side of the table now. The networks are dictating terms, and payers are confronted with ‘take it or leave it’ ultimatums – ultimatums that include exclusivity across all states, much higher fees, required bundling of services, and lower customer service standards.
Workers comp is now a business of managing medical expense. Medical is core to work comp, a central part of the business. Payers must recognize this and restructure their thinking, their culture, their methods and practices to deal with the new reality.
What does this mean for you?
It is time to regain control.


Jun
12

Health Affairs’ HWR edition is up

HWR welcomes back Health Affairs as the host and editor of this biweek’s edition. Jane Hiebert-White brings her distinctive Washington flair to HWR, one that is quite timely given all the wonking-about among candidates and pundits alike.


Jun
11

Separating fact from garbage

If recent (and past) electoral history is any guide, this Presidential election, or at least the health reform part of it, is going to be fought with sound bites. We can already hear the right screeching about the ills of ‘socialized medicine’ while the left howls about the evils of privatized health care. The right trots out Canadians and Brits who allegedly suffered maltreatment (or no treatment) from the numb grey bureaucracy that is their ‘national health system’. The left counters with stories of under-insured Americans bankrupted by health care costs.
Conservatives decry waiting lists, progressives bemoan the US’ health care system’s lowly international ranking.
This is a hugely complicated issue. Pat answers and bumper-sticker slogans are meaningless and should be treated as such. Yet few of us have the time to really dig into the issues, to fully understand the WHO’s national health rating system or the reality of waiting lists in the OECD.
What’s a concerned citizen, one really trying to understand, to make informed decisions, to do?
First, when approached at a cocktail party, kid’s lacrosse game, or backyard barbecue by someone touting the latest statistic or quoting a health care horror story, just ask for the details. What is the source? Where did this happen? What caused it to happen? Who was involved? When did it occur?
I’m betting that in most cases the source will be vague (the internet…), location undefined, causality undetermined, and timing uncertain. So you’re left with an impression, albeit one based on a vague, unsubstantiated source, an impression apparently designed to give you, the listener, a negative perception.
Second, ask what the solution is. How could this be fixed? What could have been done better/faster/cheaper/smarter and what conditions need to exist to make that happen? What do you think would solve this? How would we pay for it?
Third, ask for definitions. What exactly do they mean by ‘socialized medicine’? Are providers government employees? Is this single payer? Are prices fixed? Is it universal coverage?
You don’t have to be an expert/wonk/policy geek, but you do have to be curious and willing to push back on folks spewing mindless sound bites.
People who just want to complain, criticize, and demonize those with differing views are not going to help solve this problem, rather they are miniature ‘Harry and Louise’ bomblets, programmed to go off at random intervals, triggered by a headline or patently false email. They spread fear and uncertainty, worry and hesitation. Their victims retreat into the status quo as the devil they know sounds a lot better than the garbage spouted by these Harrys and Louises.
That’s not to say we can’t have strong disagreements (as loyal readers have undoubtedly noticed, we like spirited fights around here). As long as they are fact-based, supported by solid data and the argument is logical, have at it.
But leave the fear-mongering and logic-twisting to the John Stossels and Ann Coulters.


Jun
10

Obama, McCain, and health care reform

Now that the Democratic primary season is over (and boy don’t we miss it!), it is time to focus on the presumptive nominees’ rather different approaches to health care reform. (If Hillary ‘unsuspends’ her campaign and Obama drives off a cliff between the time I write and you read this, don’t despair, the Democratic candidates’ plans are more similar than they are different.)
The differences between the McCain and Obama plans are big – really big. Philosophically, McCain’s approach is market-based and tax policy driven, relying on individuals to make the best decisions on health care procedures and treatment. His plan would remove the favorable treatment of employer-funded health insurance, instead providing a refundable tax credit of $2500/individual or $5000 per family to help them buy insurance (note – the average individual policy now costs over $4000 and the average family policy cost exceeds $12,000). Conversely, Obama’s plan is more pragmatic, focused on fixing the problems with the current market-based system with a ban on medical underwriting, a comprehensive ‘minimum’ benefit design, financial help for small employers buying health insurance, and some sort of stop-loss insurance for high dollar claims.
As does McCain, Obama relies on private insurers to provide health insurance, but from there the two candidates’ plans diverge dramatically. One area where the plans appear to be similar is their stance on mandated universal coverage. While neither mandates coverage, Obama comes much closer, requiring universal coverage for children. But the Senator’s plan and public statements are a little disconnected; in Obama’s speeches and ads the Senator does appear to endorse mandated coverage – eventually.
Obama’s plan requires insurers take all comers, regardless of pre-existing medical conditions. Notably, although McCain’s original talking points did not mention guaranteed insurability, his campaign website now at least speaks to the issue – but his plan does nothing to change the status quo.
McCain wants to allow wide variation in benefit plan design and speaks glowingly of HSAs, while Obama is calling for a plan similar to the Federal Employee Health Benefit Plan. Both candidates’ policies appear to dramatically reduce states’ ability to mandate certain types of care (e.g. acupuncture) with the result that regulation of health plan benefits will shift from a state to a Federal responsibility.
While most other candidates are talking about covering the uninsured, McCain is focused on cost. More specifically, the cost of chronic conditions such as diabetes, asthma and CAD which account for 75% of the US’ entire $2 trillion health care bill. McCain is not just pointing out the obvious, he also plans to attack these costs by altering reimbursement – paying providers for maintaining health rather than reimbursing for specific procedures.
Here’s how McCain put it: “We should pay a single bill for high-quality health care, not an endless series of bills for presurgical tests and visits, hospitalization and surgery, and follow-up tests, drugs and office visits,”
McCain is dead on when he talks about the need to pay for health, not reimburse for procedures. His focus on the need to aggressively improve care and outcomes for patients with chronic conditions is creditable.
But he’s dead wrong in his blind faith in the market to solve the problem of insurability, and just plain blind in his belief that the individual insurance market is the answer. Today, in the vast majority of states, there is a free market for insurers writing individual insurance. And no insurers that can medically underwrite don’t, with the result that those who most need insurance can’t get it. You can’t blame the insurers; why would they want to cover an individual with heart disease, cancer, MS, depression, or asthma, or all of the above? They wouldn’t, no matter what kind of ‘risk adjustment’ plan is in place. It would be irresponsible, especially for those insurers that are owned by stockholders (think Aetna, United HealthGroup, CIGNA, Humana, Coventry, Wellpoint…)
Notably, nowhere on McCain’s website or in his policy papers does he say what the plan will cost. But his statements leave little doubt as to what he wants to do, and the Joint Committee on Taxation’s report on the McCain health plan clearly demonstrates the financial impact of his plan. The cost of the tax credits would be $206 billion in FY 2009 and $3.6 trillion over 10 years. That is about double what Obama’s plan is projected to cost.
Equally notable, Douglas Holtz-Eakin, one of McCain’s key advisers agreed that the McCain plan would increase the budget deficit, saying “It will make deficits expand up front, no question…”
The difference between the elephant and the donkey can perhaps be best summarized in two slogans.
For McCain, it might be “More expensive, less coverage.”
For Obama “Coverage just like I have, for only a hundred billion.”


Jun
10

Pithy and true

Here, cribbed from Dr. Val and the Voice, are quotes they collected from yet another person, with my comments interspersed:
“Half of the people in the US have some sort of chronic illness. Health insurance is like having car insurance when 50% of people are having accidents. Of course nobody can afford it.”
This is especially true because the wrecks are often caused by poor routine maintenance.
“We need to keep employer-based healthcare because when employers have ‘skin in the game’ they have the incentive to promote healthy behavior at a local level. Monolithic government programs aren’t good at influencing people at the individual level. Employers know each of their employees by name, they are invested in their lives, they provide childcare services and other benefits to them, and each employee’s health affects their bottom line. Employers are a critical force for promoting and facilitating healthy behaviors.”
And employers have the financial motive to keep workers working and their families healthy so workers aren’t worried about and/or taking time off to deal with family health issues.
“Alternative energy sources aren’t that interesting when gas is $1/gallon. But when gas hits $4/gallon suddenly everyone is very interested in alternative energy. The same goes for healthcare. It takes a cost crisis to bring it to everyone’s attention. And now the audience is listening.”
A great analogy – our addiction to oil looks like it has limits, and our addiction to all the expensive health care we can waste may be hitting its own hard stop.
and thanks to Ann in Florida for the heads up.


Jun
9

Drugs in Workers Comp – inflation is down, PBMs are up

The Fifth Annual Survey of Prescription Drug Management in Workers Comp has been completed, and copies of the Public version of the report are available at no charge. (email infoAThealthstrategyassocDOTcom)
A few late respondents contributed significantly to the report, and their data also moved the figures around a bit. Here are a few key statistics.
Drug inflation for 2007 was 4.9% (looking at the increase in total dollars for 2007 over 2006).
Generic utilization was in the high seventies, with generic efficiency in the ninety-percent range.
Essentially all larger payers are now using PBMs, although are many are not using them as effectively as they could be. PBMs’ clinical, reporting, outreach, paper bill processing, and related capabilities are not being utilized to their fullest by all but a very few payers.
The use of home delivery has jumped and is close to 5% across all respondents. This is a major improvement over a couple years ago, when it was in the 2% range for most payers.
And finally, the first fill capture rate is in the low twenties – although half of the respondents did not have the figure readily available.
Copies of past surveys are available here.


Jun
9

Today’s fashion – saying ‘nay’

It has become fashionable of late to accuse the Democrats of backsliding on their ‘commitment’ to health care reform. Pundits have been opining that there isn’t the political will, there isn’t enough cash, the Dems can’t get their act together, it’s too much work, and other variations of “it’s just soooooo hard”.
I don’t buy it.
I’ve been forecasting major reform for over a year, and nothing in the recent past makes me change that prediction. In fact, my take is recent developments make it more likely that we’ll see major reform in the next Congress.
The Columbia Journalism Review disagrees, (I had problems w their site, apologies if the link doesn’t work) quoting a few Democratic legislators’ comments that appear to bode ill for reform. Their premise, that the Dems will have to push it, is obvious. The doubt is appropriate, but the careful selection of quotes appears designed more to support their thesis than to present an objective view. Here are a couple of those ‘other’ quotes’.
One of the pols the CJR took to task for wimpy words was Max Baucus (if you’re going to pick a dissembler in Congress, there are a lot better targets than the Montana Senator). The Senator has said a lot about health care; has Baucus said “if reform isn’t passed I’ll move to Canada”? Of course not – but he did say “The moral and economic case for reform has never been stronger.” Along with Baucus, Nebraska’s Chuck Grassley is co-hosting a confab (of the major public variety); commenting on the meeting, Baucus stated “Our broken health care system is endangering families and sapping this country’s ability to compete economically, and Americans want something done about it. But comprehensive health reform won’t drop out of the clear blue sky – we have to do some legwork first…”
Baucus et al’s opinions are supported by other eminent lawmakers such as Durenberger of Minnesota and Corker of Tennessee.
CJR followed up the original piece with a bit of clarification, concluding with the observation that principles (as stated by a few elected officials as the basis for developing legislation) did not mean anything will happen. Not exactly burying the lead, and not terribly informed or informative either.
It may well take 60 Senators to pass reform. Even if the Dems win big in November, they will still be well short of that magic number and need help from their colleagues across the aisle. A few Republicans will have to support any reform initiative, but that isn’t as far-fetched as it may seem.
For example, Utah’s Bob Bennett (R) is a co-sponsor of Ron Wyden (D OR) Healthy Americans Actalong with six other GOP Senators and an independent (Lamar Alexander (R-TN), Bob Corker (R-TN), Judd Gregg (R-NH), Chuck Grassley (R-IA), Norm Coleman (R-MN), Joe Lieberman (ID-CT), and Mike Crapo (R-ID). (btw, Corker is a relatively recent addition, which would logically indicate growing support)
The math works. Using current projections of electoral changes gives us between 54 – 57 Dems, and a handful of Republicans joining in puts the measure (which measure exactly is another question) over the top.
Sure, it is going to be hard, and tough, and there will be back- and side-steps amid the forward progress. But the odds remain in favor of health reform – and may actually be improving.
In the meantime, look for the reality behind the quotes. And nothing says reality more than a Senator’s name on a big health reform bill.