The last couple weeks of the “real” summer are flashing by…things have been a little slow out there but a few items of note crossed my virtual desk this week.

Workers’ comp

From Insurance Thought Leadership comes a piece about M&A activity in P&C insurance claims.  While the article emphasizes the “supply chain” for auto, the author also believes work comp vendors are ripe for consolidation.  That’s a bit like calling the race after the horses have crossed the line, nonetheless author Stephen Applebaum’s views are worthy of consideration.

Just occurred to me that three very good and highly experienced work comp medical directors have departed/will depart their current employers over the next few weeks.  Rob Bonner, MD of the Hartford; David Dietz, MD of Liberty; and Luis Vilella, MD of the North Dakota State Fund are all free agents, or soon will be.

That’s a lot of talent.

Health cost inflation

The latest data indicate health cost inflation remains really, really low.  Like 3 percent. There’s plenty of opining on which factors are affecting the decrease in the rate of increase, but rather than apportion blame/credit, let’s just bask in the warm glow for a bit.

Health plans

While profits aren’t at an all-time high, early indications are the biggest health plans – which cover 56% of Americans with health insurance – are doing pretty well, with a good chunk of their growth coming from self-insured employers.  From Mark Farrah’s report on Q1 2014 results on the top 7 health plans;  “[the] uptick in ASO suggests more employers are opting for self-funded commercial plans to skirt some provisions of the ACA (Affordable Care Act). Increases in risk enrollment are mainly a result of continued growth in the Medicare and Medicaid segments.”

The data is supported by an insightful piece from Margot Sanger-Katz in the NYTimes’ Upshot blog.  Sanger-Katz notes employee insurance signups at Walmart are up significantly, a data point she uses to build a case for the ACA’s influence on employer signups.  Singer-Katz – “expanded employer insurance coverage illustrates how the Affordable Care Act is set up to build on the country’s existing insurance system rather than tear it down. The law doesn’t just create new public insurance programs. It also includes incentives designed to get more people enrolled in employer health coverage.” [emphasis added]

Ten days till the unofficial end of summer – relax like it’s your job!

While Congress is on vacation (not that anyone can tell the difference…) Health Wonk Review is most definitely not.  Brad Wright keeps us up to date on what’s happening while the summer goes on.

HWR is back to its twice-a-month schedule next month.  Enjoy the rest of August!

Had a great few days of vacation last week; completely ignored work, spent a lot of time with many old friends, and learned for the millionth time how unbelievably lucky I am to be married to Deb.

Here’s a VERY brief summary of some of the happenings that happened while I was doing everything possible to ignore them.

Workers’ Comp

NO acquisitions were announced.  Maybe it’s because August is a big vacation month – not that the investment world ever takes vacations – but no deals were announced, or even rumored to be done last week.   Word is APAX/OneCall is still the front runner for Coventry Work Comp, more accurately that’s the consensus of the rumor mill.  There are a couple other interested parties, but for now IF a deal gets done it will likely be finalized in October.  

The big Florida Work Comp conference is happening this week and it’s likely to be bigger than ever.  Your trusty author isn’t there, but Bob Wilson, Mark Walls, Roberto Ceniceros and the other real experts will be keeping us posted on the goings-on.  There’s also WCI-FWCI TV; the conference broadcasts selected sessions and does an update each day on happenings.

In what will likely be the top topic on everyone’s mind, a Florida judge ruled that the state’s work comp law is unconstitutional; the Miami Herald reported ““The benefits in the act have been so decimated,” [Judge Jorge] Cueto wrote, “that it no longer provides a reasonable alternative” to filing suit in civil court.”

More details here from the Herald.

Health reform roll-out

The latest PPACA Chicken Little story is that Exchange enrollment is falling off dramatically as newly-insureds drop out.  According to the Investor’s Business Daily, the attrition rate is around 30 percent…

Except that’s completely wrong.

IBD’s piece distorted the figures by using the initial enrollment data as a baseline – NOT the initial PAID enrollment figure. A chunk of those who originally signed up didn’t pay, so they never had coverage to begin with. Comparing the total number of those who signed up (regardless of whether they paid or not) to those who stopped paying is apples to oranges – unless IBD’s intention was to mislead.

In fact, the decline in paid enrollment pretty much parallels what health plans normally see in an individual health block – a couple percent a month.  That’s due to enrollees getting jobs, going on to Medicare, getting married, dying, losing their jobs – normal life events.

IBD – and their fellow ideologues – either don’t understand the basics of the health insurance business, or choose to ignore facts and figures that don’t fit with their ideology.  Either way, it makes one wonder how credible the rest of their reporting and opining is.

Methinks “IBD” stands for “Ideologues Being Deceitful”…

 

The dog days of August are upon us, and I’m going to be on vacation for most of next week, so there won’t be much activity at the Intergalactic HQ of Health Strategy Associates – or here for that matter.

Let’s get caught up on what happened this week.

Workers Comp

First, from the arcane world of Pennsylvania billing comes this note – a recent Supreme Court case, Selective Insurance v Physical Therapy Institute resulted in a ruling favorable to Selective – and other payers in PA.  Allegedly PTI – a Medicare Part A provider – was providing billing services for Medicare Part B PT providers; as PTI was not the provider, the court found the insurer did not have to pay PTI for the services.

Thanks to Linda Schmac of Premier Comp for the heads up. Ms Schmac suggests payers may want to ask their PA patients to sign an affidavit from providers other than PTI to maintain this protection.

In the possibly-even-more-esoteric world of work comp pharmacy, the good folks in North Carolina passed legislation restricting physician dispensing to workers’ comp claimants.  Pricing has to be based on a non-repackaged drug, docs are prohibited from dispensing more than a five-day supply of Schedule II and III drugs.  Kudos to Industrial Commission Chair Andrew Heath and his staff for shepherding this bill thru.

Finally, we’ve just finished collecting the data for the Eleventh Annual Survey of Pharmacy Benefit Management in Workers’ Comp; I’ll do a quick post on highlights Monday.  If you want to peruse past editions, click here.

Health care inflation

Has stayed remarkably low over the last few years.  Now comes a solid analysis that indicates most of that “reduction in the rate of inflation” is due to economic factors.  In an article published in Health Affairs, the authors found that about 70% of the decrease was due to those economic factors associated with the slowdown; whether PPACA implementation will help keep rates down going forward is not yet known. That said, it looks like PPACA could only be responsible for about 30% of the decrease.

Don’t jump to conclusions – the impact of reform won’t be known for several more years. 

Health reform implementation

Those who think the problems with the Federal Exchange are behind us may want to wait just a bit before declaring victory.  Re-enrollment will require verification of income and other bits of data aggregation, assembly, and verification; word is some of these processes are not yet ready for prime time.  Here’s hoping they are before prime time arrives – in two months…

From “The National Memo comes a report on a recent Gallup finding that the uninsured rate is down 4 percentage points in the 21 states that have both “expanded Medicaid and set up their own state exchanges; in the 29 that have taken one or neither of these steps, it has fallen only 2.2 percent.” Given the Federal Exchanges’ problems, this isn’t surprising. 

Notably, “9 of the 10 states that have experienced the largest reductions in their uninsured rates are governed by Democrats (with the exception being New Mexico, where Republican Susana Martinez is governor).” GOP governors happen to run the ten states with the lowest reductions in uninsured rates. 

A big chunk of this is due to not expanding Medicaid; another study indicates:

• 6.7 million residents are projected to remain uninsured in 2016 as a result
• Non-expansion states are giving up $423.6 billion in federal Medicaid funds over ten years.
• Hospitals in the 24 non-expansion states are going to lose out on $167.8 billion “in Medicaid funding that was originally intended to offset major cuts to their Medicare and Medicaid reimbursement.”

As I’ve noted, those hospitals are going to have to make up that revenue shortfall from somewhere…

Medicare Solvency

The Medicare Trustees’ Report is out – just in time for that beach reading!  NASI has produced their much-more-readable review, which finds that there’s currently enough funding to cover all hospital expenses till 2030 – that’s four years more than last year’s assessment.

Good news to be sure.  Now if we can just keep those providers from shifting costs to work comp patients…