Insight, analysis & opinion from Joe Paduda

May
14

Drug costs in workers comp – and the answer is

I’ve just about completed compiling results of the Fifth Annual Survey of Prescription Drug Management in Workers Comp. While the report won’t be completed for a couple weeks, here are a few factoids that are rather compelling.
Drug trend continues to moderate, with inflation in 2007 coming in at 4.3%. That’s a big improvement over last year’s 6.5%, which was a big improvement over the previous year’s 9.5%…
Generic fills (the percentage of scripts that are filled with generics) looks to be in the high seventy percent range, with generic efficiency around 90% (that’s the percentage of scripts that could be filled with generics that are).
New this year is a question about first fill capture rate, defined as the percentage of initial scripts that are routed through the PBM’s network. This is starting to get attention, with the average respondent rating it just under ‘very important’. That doesn’t mean they have the data – about half of the twenty payers surveyed couldn’t identify their first fill rate. Of those who could, the numbers indicate about one-fifth of initial scripts are in-network.
Many of the survey respondents (primarily large and mid-size carriers, state funds, and TPAs) have a lot more insight into their drug spend, know what the cost drivers are, and the ones with the lowest inflation have all put programs in place to clinically manage drugs.
Thanks to all the folks who set aside time to help with the survey – you know who you are.


May
12

A few facts about Pharmacy Management in Workers Comp

I’m knee deep in my annual survey of pharmacy management in workers’ comp, and if I look at one more column of data I’m going to need a few class 2’s myself.
So in the interest of my sanity, here are a few early findings from the survey.
Inflation looks to be down from last year’s 6.5%, marking the fifth consecutive year of ‘decreases in the rate of increase’. More detail to follow on what’s causing the decline, but preliminary review indicates the focus on utilization is continuing to reduce the volume and type of drugs dispensed. As NCCI has noted, utilization is significantly more important cost driver than price.
Clinical programs are getting better, more targeted, more sophisticated, and more effective. A focus on addressing high cost claimants is almost universal among the best performing payers – this may seem blindingly obvious, but requires one to have data, know what to look for, and be able to develop and implement programs to attack the issue.
I try to use the same questions each year so we can track trends and changes in the industry. But new things, points of interest, and queries come in each year which requires that some old and not-as-interesting-any-more questions have to get dropped to make room for the new stuff.
This year we added questions on generic efficiency and fill rates. While the analysis is not yet complete, and a couple more respondents are going to send their data in, the preliminary figures indicate the average generic fill rate is right around 70%, with generic efficiency (the percentage of scripts that could be filled with generics that are) around 90%.
This is an average – types of business written and managed, jurisdictional nuances, data availability, accuracy, and consistency all make this stat somewhat questionable.
That said, better to start asking then to wait for perfection.
Thanks to Cypress Care for sponsoring the survey for the third consecutive year.


May
9

Shooting yourself in the head

I recently gave a keynote speech to a group of insurance brokers affiliated with the Institute for Work Comp Professionals; the talk focused on cost drivers in WC, with special emphasis on medical costs.
The part of the talk that generated the most discussion was the section on networks, and specifically how most WC networks have completely failed to reduce medical expenses.
My net is insurers are shooting themselves in the head, with a pistol provided by their managed care departments.
PPOs contract with providers to deliver services at a discount. Most PPOs get paid a percentage of the savings that is delivered by that discount, typically 15 to 22 percent of the savings. So, the more the PPO ‘saves’ the more it makes. On the surface, this sounds good: the system rewards the PPO for saving money and does not pay it when it delivers no savings.
However, a closer look reveals that when the PPO vendors win, the payer loses. The ugly head of the Law of Unintended Consequences emerges again.
At the most basic level, health care costs are driven by a relatively simple equation:
Price per Unit x Number of Units = Total Costs
Under a percentage-of-savings arrangement, reducing total cost is ignored in favor of saving money on unit costs. The PPO gets paid for savings on individual bills. Therefore, the more services that are delivered and the more bills generated, the greater the ‘savings’ and the more money the PPO makes.
The system encourages over utilization because it is in the PPO’s best interest financially to have numerous providers generate lots of bills for lots of services. Also, the providers, squeezed by a per-unit fee schedule that is lower than fee schedule/Usual and Customary Rates (UCR), have a perverse incentive to make up for that discount by performing more services.
The industry has been hit, and hit hard, by the Law of Unintended Consequences. Two of the top managed care “fixes” – fee schedules and PPOs with pricing based on percentage of savings, encourage over-utilization, a major cost driver for workers’ compensation.
It’s no wonder that most PPOs like this model, but why would any of their customers?
The simple answer is that managed care departments at many carriers and third party administrators (TPAs) are evaluated on the basis of their network penetration (the percentage of dollars that flow through a network provider) and network savings (on a per-bill basis).Their internal and external customers have bought into the per-unit discount model, and measure the success of their managed care programs on the dollars and/or bills that flow thru the network, and the savings below fee schedule or UCR delivered by the network.
The fact is few carriers, TPAs, or employers have realized that per-bill ‘savings’ is the wrong way to assess a managed care program. And unless senior management changes their evaluation methodology, their managed care departments will have no incentive to change their program to one that actually does reduce total costs.
After my conversation with a hall full of brokers, my bet is more carriers are going to be getting more questions about this.


May
8

The cost of ignorance

Many payers look at ‘medical’ as a line item and nothing more. This myopia, this failure to look deeper, to try to understand what drives medical, is perhaps the most significant shortcoming in the industry.
Many readers will dismiss this criticism, claiming that they are different and smarter, that they know better.
And most will be wrong.
One current example provides compelling evidence of the industry’s ignorance of many things medical. I’ve posted on the pending changes to the Florida fee schedule, namely the move by the Three Member Panel to establish Medicare billed charges as the standard for Usual and Customary for facilities. That’s right, billed charges, not reimbursement. Yet many payers – self insured employers, insurers, and TPAs – are blissfully unaware of the damage this will do.
Here’s why hospital costs are important. According to the WCRI, hospital costs are rapidly accelerating for claims with more than 7 days lost time (which account for 83.5% of all workers’ compensation medical payout).

  • Medical payment for NonHospital providers: up 3.8%
  • All hospital medical payments: up 7.1%
  • Inpatient hospital medical payments: up 12.1%

(Source, Stacy M. Eccelston et. al., The Anatomy of Workers’ Compensation Medical Costs, 6th Edition, 2007, WCRI).
In Florida, where hospital costs are about half of all medical expenses, this is particularly significant. In fact, two studies indicate the Panel’s proposed changes will dramatically increase hospital costs – by over $50 million annually. More troubling, the change will likely have the unintended consequence of shifting the location of care for many patients. With facility reimbursement becoming much more profitable, payers can expect to see many more bills for care delivered in hospitals, outpatient facilities, and ASCs. And they will be paying much more for that care.
Yet payers, in testimony before the Panel, seem to be completely ignorant of the impact of the proposed changes.
Here’s hoping payers wake up from their slumber – and soon. If not, many will have to explain to their clients why they didn’t act to prevent this disaster. Because it is preventable.
(for detailed information on this in the form of an extensive analysis, email infoAThealthstrategyassocDOTcom with Florida Hospital Reimbursement in the subject line)


May
7

Ingenix can’t catch a break

Ingenix has had a tough few months. The latest injury comes in the form of a suit filed by a Connecticut man, seeking class action status based on allegations that the United HealthCare sub engaged in an “alleged conspiracy in which insurance companies calculate their usual, customary and reasonable rates from a flawed and manipulated Ingenix database. The low payments to providers, according to the lawsuit, left Weintraub and other consumers with higher out-of-pocket costs.” (Modern Healthcare)
For the legal folks out there, the full case can be accessed here. (PACER sub req)
The plaintiff, Jeffrey Weintraub, is suing Ingenix, their parent, UnitedHealth Group Inc; sister company Oxford Health Plans, as well as Aetna Inc, Cigna Corp, Empire BlueCross BlueShield, Humana Inc, Group Health Ins Inc, Health Ins Plan of NY and Health Net Inc.
OK, so what does this mean? My sense is this is piling on; since the Cuomo announcement Ingenix has been a highly visible target, and based on the company’s rather lackadaisical approach to defending its methodology in the Davekos case, it looks like the legal sharks smell blood in the water.
But just because it is piling on does not mean these cases are without merit.
I would expect to see more of these suits filed, perhaps in more class-action friendly jurisdictions (Mississippi, for example). I also expect the industry to rally around Ingenix – this is a very, very big deal, and one that has been mishandled so far. Ingenix, and the health payer industry, cannot afford any more mishaps.
Thanks to Fierce Healthcare for the heads’ up.


May
6

Health care reform – what are the chances?

Pretty good. I’d say better than 50:50; probably 60:40 or better that there will be major reform in the next Congress.
Here’s why.
Sen Ron Wyden’s (D OR) Healthy Americans Act has six D and six R Senate cosponsors, including Bob Bennett (R UT). There is broad bipartisan support for the bill, which mandates universal coverage.
WalMart and the SEIU back the bill.
The National Federation of Independent Businesses backs some form of ‘universal’ reform.
Both Democratic Presidential candidates back major reform.
Congress has been stung by criticism of its inability to get much done – and health care reform is something big that needs doing.
Many of the Fortune 500 back reform, including automakers, service companies, and manufacturers. And the unions that represent their workers do too.
This impressive array of supporters is opposed by…well, it must be opposed by some groups, companies, politicians, lobbies, but it is hard to find much in the way of opposition, at least using internet search engines. We can look to California to find out how and why their efforts to pass reform failed. A loose coalition, comprised of Republican legislators, Blue Cross of California [WellPoint], the state Chamber of Commerce, and the tobacco industry joined together to oppose the bill, and their efforts got a major push from legislators’ deep concerns about the cost of the initiative and the Golden State’s financial straits. A closely related issue is the concern by many that states, acting alone, cannot enact meaningful reform for the simple reason that 1/3 of all health care dollars are controlled (to a great extent) by the Feds, and if these dollars, and the care they pay for and members they cover aren’t integrated into a comprehensive reform measure, the effort is doomed to fail. Cost shifting, contradicting priorities, differing measures of success and evaluation methodologies will result in a confused, bifurcated system that serves neither population well.
Similarly, the problems emerging in Massachusetts and Maine make it less likely that states will successfully pursue reform measures. Instead, the states, a powerful lobbying group in and of themselves, will likely join others to support national reform.
As General Eric Shinseki, former Chief of Staff, U. S. Army, said “If you don’t like change, you’re going to like irrelevance even less.”


May
5

Agents who get it

I’m at the annual meeting of the Institute of WorkComp Professionals in Asheville, NC today. A very impressive group; what is notable is these folks actually do ‘get it’; they do understand that workers comp is not just a spreadsheet game, a price war, a contest to see who can squeeze the carrier the most.
These agents understand that the value they must deliver is to develop and implement long term programs, programs that attack cost drivers, that reduce injuries and speed return to work.
And those programs, and the results they provide, can’t be done on the cheap.


May
2

Weather and recovery from it – the hot thing at RIMS

the new big thing at RIMS this year seemed to be weather; the prediction of it (both long and short term forecasting), and the closely related business of disaster recovery. There were several vendors marketing sophisticated technology that ostensibly enables users to predict the date time and precise location of tornado touchdowns, along with the precise path and extent of destruction and list of addresses that will be affected (well, I may be exagerating just a touch).
Just in case an insurer hadn’t taken advantage of that new technology, there were several disaster recovery firms pitching their incredible ability to make disaster damage disappear overnight. Perhaps they should market themselves to parents of teenagers for those inevitable parents-out-of-town-party cleanups. Now that would be a test…
If it is any consolation, there were dozens of security firms at the 2002 RIMS: they’ve all but disappeared from the show floor, perhaps due to the lack of unfortunate events in 03, 04, 05…


Apr
30

McCain’s health reform plan – More costly, less coverage

I and others have taken Sen McCain to task for his wildly expensive health reform plan that somehow manages to cost more than the Obama or Clinton plans, while insuring far fewer people.
How does he do this?
By relying on tax breaks and the existing completely broken health care system, making no changes to insurers’ current ability to medically underwrite, deny coverage to those with pre-existing conditions, and allow insurers to write policies across state lines, thereby contributing to the likelihood that adverse selection will speed the death spiral of plans that take all comers.
Brilliant.
Bob Laszewski provides us with a trenchant review of Mccain’s latest attempt to justify/explain his ‘plan’. Hint – it is neither a justification or explanation, but then again, it isn’t a plan.


Joe Paduda is the principal of Health Strategy Associates

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A national consulting firm specializing in managed care for workers’ compensation, group health and auto, and health care cost containment. We serve insurers, employers and health care providers.

 

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