Insight, analysis & opinion from Joe Paduda

May
17

Surgical costs vary widely

The deeper you dig into health care data, the more interesting the stuff you learn. For years, insurers and health plans have been analyzing patient, physician, procedure, and facility data in an effort to learn more about the inter-relationships of costs, outcomes, demographics, and scores of other factors. A lot of this is arcane, a good bit useful, and some downright intriguing.
Into the latter category comes a study that shows surgeons performing the same procedures at the same hospital on similar patients with similar outcomes can incur very different costs.
The study, authored by Washington University in St Louis, indicates that costs can vary by as much as 45%.
What does this mean for you?
When assessing provider performance, you have to consider all aspects, including the total costs for their patients, and not just the physician components,


May
16

Market power in managed care – the health plans are winning

One health insurer has at least 30% market share in virtually all of the nation’s major markets. This finding, published in the AMA’s “Competition in Health Insurance; A comprehensive study of US markets”, indicates that the market’s consolidation has resulted in a monopsony wherein there are few buyers (in this case of provider’s services) and many sellers (again, in this case, providers).
The market is even more consolidated than the above statistic indicates; in 56% of the markets studies, one health plan has over 50% market share, and in one of five markets, a single health plan controls over 70% of the market.
This makes for a small group of companies controlling the buying and selling of health care; they have created a monopsony on the buying end and an oligopoly on the selling end.
What does this mean for you?
US health care may be devolving to a not-quite-single payer system; with three plans dominating the marketplace, providers have little control over selling their services, and health plan purchasers have few sources from whom to buy their health insurance.
The health care market does not lend itself to new entrants as barriers to entry are quite high. Provider contracts are required, and without market share, providers won’t give meaningful contracts. And without meaningful contracts, employers won’t sign up.
So new entrants are stuck in a Catch-22. The result – continued market consolidation, leading to fewer options for providers (sellers) and employers (buyers).
While the “market” may be working here, the result is likely unfavorable for both providers and employers. Wealth is indeed being created at the health plan level, but at the expense of their suppliers and customers.
The net is this. Is it acceptable to allow companies to exert this level of control over health care ?


May
16

Pigs get fat and hogs get slaughtered

Few managed care firms have enjoyed a run of financial success close to that experienced by United HealthGroup, and its executives have done remarkably in the process. But success can be a dangerous thing, as it appears UHG’s executive greed may have superceded good judgement. The latest is the ongoing drip drip of news about United Healthcare’s inappropriate executive stock options program continued today with the news that UHG may have to restate earnings to account for the practice of backdating stock options.
Executive stock options at United did not have specific dates for granting of options; the dates floated. The floating date in and of itself is not the issue; what could be problematic is the accusation that the option grant date was backdated to take advantage of movements in the underlying stock, thereby artificially inflating the value of the options.
And we aren’t talking a few bucks here and there. According to the Minneapolis Star-Tribune, United Chairman and CEO Bill “McGuire held options valued at $1.6 billion at the end of 2005; (COO Steve) Hemsley had options worth $663 million. Collectively, the 10 outside directors have cashed in options worth $159.2 million in the past five years.”
While we all admire capitalism and the wealth it creates, when the wealth-creation process is manipulated to generate fortunes for a few, that’s not quite so admirable. And, if this happens while the company itself is hammering its contracted providers for ever-lower reimbursement, that’s a PR problem writ large.
With United’s current status as one of the top three insurers in the nation (covering some 27 million members, or 9% of the national population) and the dominant player in many markets, it does have market power, and has never been shy about exercising same. But success appears to have bred contempt on the part of UHG’s executives for their fellow shareholders and contracted providers, an attitude that may come back to haunt UHG.
What does this mean for you?
Another example that hubris kills.


May
15

More revelations in Ohio BWC case likely

WIth the announcement that indicted Bureau of Workers Compensation investment manager Tom Noe is seeking to change his plea from not guilty, it appears that once again the scandal that won’t stop looks to be entering a new and evern more entertaining phase.
Noe, Republican fund raiser and rare coin industry advocate, “asked to change his not guilty pleas to federal charges of funneling money to President Bush’s re-election campaign.” (Akron Beacon-Journal, May 11, 2006) Now, don’t confuse this legal problem with one or more of Noe’s myriad other…difficulties (including the mystery of the disappearing coins; the where-did-Tom-Noe-get-the-money-to-buy-all-that-art-and-other-stuff question; the new allegations that Noe’s activities extended across the Atlantic to Spain where he was involved in stock price manipulations and company takoever shenanigans (?!); and his other potentially-illegal campaign contributions).
I’m surmising that Noe’s decision to change pleas involves some kind of deal wherein Noe will name names and cause yet more heartburn for dirty politicians in Ohio.
Who knew workers comp could be so entertaining?
Hat tip to Workers Comp Executive for the new news on Noe.


May
15

Health care factoids

The California Health Care Foundation has published its annual Health Care Costs 101 report, providing a wealth of data on cost trends, cost drivers and health care funding sources. Here are a few highlights.
1. Health care costs in the US topped $2 trillion in 2005, over $6500 per person.
2. Hospital care accounted for 30% of the total, and physician and clinical services 21%.
3. The cost of drugs has gone from $20 per person in 1984 to $188 in 2004.
4. Governments fund 39%of health care spending with 22% from the feds and 17% state and local.
5. The overall health care inflation rate in 2004 was 7.9% . This marks the 24th consecutive year health care inflation has exceeded the overall inflation rate.
And the kicker – in 2015, health care costs will comprise 20% of US GDP.


May
12

Part D financials make no sense

A new study released by Part D advocacy group Medicare Today makes a compelling case for seniors’ enrollment in Part D. Authored by the Lewin Group (an excellent and unbiased health care reseach and analysis firm) the study makes a compelling case for seniors to enroll.
It makes an equally compelling case for adverse selection.
The only seniors who are signing up are those that can make money on the program. They make money because their premiums will be less than what they are spending on drugs today (or would be tomorrow). The Lewin report provides details on who benefits the most, what the average cost is ($37.43/month), and what benefits accrue to individuals with which conditions. It’s really well done.
Make no mistake; this is not insurance.
The Part D program is akin to an ATM card where you can withdraw any amount you want, as long as you pay a set minimum price. So, seniors, no dummies when it comes to managing money, can pretty quickly figure it out.
What’s missed in the discussion about Part D is the better off seniors are, the worse off taxpayers are. The ATM account has to be funded by someone, and that someone is the beleagured taxpayer.
This is nothing short of bizarre. The Feds are actively and aggressively encouraging enrollment in a program that will cost three-quarters of a trillion dollars over the next ten years, while cutting taxes that will be needed to pay for this program.
What does this mean for you?
Really high taxes in a few years. Followed by a taxpayer revolt. After which Congress will likely authorize the Feds to negotiate pricing with big pharma. Because the only other choice is to cut benefits, and seniors would never allow that.


May
12

AIG’s troubles continue

AIG’s stock price took a major hit yesterday due to a combination of missed earnings at a subsidiary company, payment of a $1.64 billon fine, and a drop in income from derivatives.
One of the factors driving the fine was AIG’s failure to pay workers compensation premium taxes in a number of jurisdictions in past years. This malfeasance, coupled with contingent commissions, fabricated insurance quotes and other anti-competitive behavior, is a growing stain on a once-proud company, a stain that doesn’t appear to be fading.


May
12

“Health Week” ends with a whimper

In baseball parlance, sometimes its the trades you don’t make that are the best ones. And it looks like the much-ballyhooed Health Week has ended with the trade deadline slated to pass with no blockbuster moves. As discouraging as that might be for those really interested in health care reform, at least Washington won’t screw it up any more.
That’s because once again, politicians are focusing on the fringes, ignoring the real cost drivers in health care, playing politics with statistics, and getting nowhere in the process. Health Week was supposed to be Congressional Republicans’ public policy win, a series of bills that would show the nation they were serious about health care reform. Were they serious?
To quote Hertz ads, “Not exactly.”
Let’s look at medical malpractice reform and the Association Health Plan Bill.

Continue reading “Health Week” ends with a whimper


May
11

Those brainy Dutch

In one of the more creative approaches to managing employee disability expense, an insurance company in Holland is issuing policies to employers who may suffer from significant increases in employee disability during the upcoming Soccer (sorry, Football) World Cup.
Dutch companies are required by law to pay employees out of work due to illness, and when tens of thousands of workers called in sick during the European Championships in 2004, a business opportunity was created. Insurance policies only pick up the payments after two weeks of absence, but the new policy, underwritted by SEZ, will cover absences the day of and the day after Dutch soccer matches.
Now if they could only set up a policy to cover Wisconsin employers for the first day of deer season…


Joe Paduda is the principal of Health Strategy Associates

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A national consulting firm specializing in managed care for workers’ compensation, group health and auto, and health care cost containment. We serve insurers, employers and health care providers.

 

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